000
FXUS63 KEAX 191116
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
616 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions and below normal temperatures expected through
  the weekend.

- Near normal temperatures return on Monday and continue
  through the week.

- Several precipitation chances arrive next week beginning
  Monday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

After a rather active week, the forecast has turned quiet after
yesterday`s system and associated front has exited the forecast
area to the east. Behind the frontal passage, much cooler air
has filtered in. Overnight temperatures have already fallen into
the 40s across the area. Northern Missouri may fall even
farther with lows potentially reaching near freezing. As
pressure builds this morning and winds calm, some frost will be
possible in our northern counties, mainly along the Nebraska and
Iowa borders. Below temperatures will continue into the daytime
hours with continued light northwesterly winds. Highs right
around 60 can be expected across the forecast area today.

Quiet weather is expected to continue into the weekend with nearly
zonal flow aloft, limiting chances for any precipitation. The cool
temperature trend continues on Saturday with highs reaching near 60
again for the Kansas City area, but north of I-70 can expect mid
50s. Lows Saturday night will be chilly with northern Missouri
potentially falling blow freezing. The rest of the forecast area
will see lows in the mid to upper 30s. By Sunday a shortwave trough
sweeps to the southeast through the forecast area. Dry weather is
expected as it passed though, with moisture remaining limited in the
forecast area. Highs near 60 can be expected for one more day before
a warm up is seen heading into Monday.

Winds turn to the south on Monday allowing for the return of spring-
like temperatures. Highs will top out near 70 in the afternoon. By
the evening though, our attention will turn to a wave pushing
through the High Plains, sending a frontal boundary through the
area Monday night into Tuesday. With decent moisture returns in
the area on Monday, the frontal passage will spark precipitation
chances into the day on Tuesday. Dry weather is expected to
return for Wednesday, but additional rain chances can be
expected through the end of the week with several waves passing
near the forecast area. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s through
the end of the week with lows mainly in the 40s and 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 614 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. BKN
to OVC high ceilings will persist through much of the daylight
hours before lowering a touch through the later half of the
period. Winds will remain light and generally out of the north
through the period.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for MOZ001>006-011.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HB
AVIATION...Kurtz

NWS EAX Office Area Forecast Discussion