633
FXUS63 KEAX 090338
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1038 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mostly dry conditions with slightly above normal temperatures
  expected the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 217 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025

The closed upper level low that brought rain to the area yesterday
through this morning opened into an open wave today with upper level
troughing extending from the eastern Great Lakes into the local
area. This will continue the chance for showers (20-40%) this
afternoon generally south of I-70. The upper level trough will sink
south and east of the area tonight as surface high pressure builds
into the forecast area bringing precipitation chance to an end.
Surface high pressure will remain in control over the area through
the weekend as upper level ridging builds over much of the central
CONUS. This will bring warm and tranquil conditions to he forecast
area through weekend with highs in the 70s on Friday and highs in
the mid 70s to lower 80s Saturday and Sunday.

The aforementioned upper level trough by Friday will extend from the
northeastern CONUS to the Gulf Coast. Friday night/Saturday a closed
low will develop in the base of the trough along the Gulf Coast and
become cutoff under the broad upper level ridge over much of the
central CONUS. Sunday into Monday this closed upper low will drift
northward up the lower Mississippi River Valley. This will have very
slight chances (>20%) for bringing a few showers to the extreme
eastern CWA Monday and Tuesday afternoons. Otherwise temperatures
will remain slightly above average Monday and Tuesday under
continued broad upper level ridging with highs in the upper 70s to
mid 80s. Wednesday, a upper level trough will move through the
central Rockies with downstream ridging continuing across the
region. With WAA increasing on the day Wednesday, highs will move
well above normal in the mid 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1038 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025

VFR conditions are very likely (>90%) through the forecast. The
HREF continues to show a small chance (

NWS EAX Office Area Forecast Discussion